Festival Circuit 2023

[Omensetter]

The ceremony is in five hours, and there's a reliable word-bank of would-be winners already circulating.

I was just going to go with my pre-festival predictions as they seem sufficiently random and informed (insofar as possible), but Koji Yakusho is too perfect for Best Actor and is starting to feel like Renate Reinsve in 2021. Plus, someone needs to be Joel Embiid to Pavel's Jokić.

Previous prediction winners (one point for guessing the correct prizewinner, a tenth of a point for guessing a film which wins a prize):
2017 — JabbatheSlut (1.3) > Omensetter (1.2)
2018 — Omensetter (2.4) > DarkImbecile (1.4)
2019 — (tie) Cremildo, DarkImbecile, Omensetter (1.3)
2021 — Pavel (3.2) > soundchaser (2.3), Omensetter (2.3), Blutarsky (2.1)
2022 — Pavel (2.1) > JabbatheSlut (1.3)
_________________
Palme d'Or: Aki Kaurismäki, Fallen Leaves
Grand Prix: Hirokazu Kore-eda, Monster
Director: Jonathan Glazer, The Zone of Interest
Screenplay: Nuri Bilge Ceylan, Ebru Ceylan, Akin Aksu, About Dry Grasses
Actor: Koji Yakusho, Perfect Days
Actress: Sandra Hüller, Anatomy of a Fall
Jury Prix: Ken Loach, The Old Oak

[soundchaser]

My (useless) hunches, simply because I like guessing:

Palme d’Or: Fallen Leaves
Grand Prix: The Zone of Interest
Jury Prize: Monster
Best Actor: Koji Yakusho
Best Actress: Sandra Huller
Best Director: Alice Rohrwacher
Best Screenplay: May December

[criterionsnob]

My predictions:
PALME D’OR: Fallen Leaves
GRAND PRIX: Monster
JURY PRIZE: 
La chimera

DIRECTOR: Jonathan Glazer
ACTOR: Koji Yakusho

ACTRESS: Sandra Hüller
SCREENPLAY: Asteroid City

[Pavel]

Kore-eda, Glazer, Ceylan, Wenders, Tran Anh Hung, Triet and Kaurismaki’s films have representation on the red carpet, they’re likely to win some award

[Pavel]

Inside the Yellow Cocoon Shell by Thien An Pham wins Camera d’Or

[Pavel]

Koji Yakusho wins Best Actor

[soundchaser]

Shocked how different Wenders looks without his longer hair.

(For anyone interested in watching, Brut is live streaming the awards on Facebook.)

[Pavel]

Oh, and I missed the short film Palme, which went to 27 by Flóra Anna Buda, with a special mention for Fàr by Gunnur Martinsdóttir Schlüter.

[soundchaser]

Merve Dizdar wins Best Actress -- there go all our ballots!

[Pavel]

Seems like Anatomy of a Fall will be fighting it out for the big one then

[Pavel]

Best Screenplay goes to Koreeda’s Monster (written by Yuji Sakamoto)

[Pavel]

Kaurismaki wins Jury Prize

[Pavel]

Tran Anh Hung wins Best Director

[Pavel]

So it’s between Glazer and Triet

[soundchaser]

A smiling Roger Corman gets a standing ovation, which was not on my bingo card.

[soundchaser]

Zone of Interest wins the Grand Prix, all but guaranteeing Anatomy of a Fall nabs the Palme d'or.

[Computer Raheem]

Trying to figure out what black magic NEON has that lets them actively predict what film will win the Palme d'Or

[yoloswegmaster]

Is having distributed the Palme D'or winner 4 times in a row some sort of record?

At least there is a good chance of NEON showing the Triet near me thanks to its win. It's a shame I can't be sure about the same happening for the Rohrwacher.

[Finch]

Surprised only really by Sandra Huller not winning for Best Actress. A German critic I enjoy reading described Anatomy of a Fall as akin to an above average TV movie in his original review of the film. Hope the Kaurismaki will play near me in Philly at least and I'm interested in the Tran An Hung and Kore-eda, maybe the Glazer.

[Omensetter]

Well, it's hard to complain about these awards given that all seven were acclaimed even if Haynes or Kaurismäki would have been more exciting, but it is more exciting to have the Palme come down to two of the more acclaimed films of the festival and not Ken Loach and Xavier Dolan. NEON seems to have a hypothetical hit with Anatomy (good chunks of it may be in English?), and Tran Anh Hung winning Director in 2023 was unexpected. Most of these films received sufficient acclaim or came courtesy of directors who are essentially festival-proof, so hopefully there isn't a Showing Up among the lot that waits an entire year to resurface.

[therewillbeblus]

Thrilled for Koji Yakusho, a long time coming

[FrauBlucher]

A list of films that sold as of May 26th

[Finch]

Well Go USA have bought Kore-eda's Monster for the US. Maybe, unlike Magnolia with Shoplifters, they'll actually bother with a Blu-Ray.

[Michael Kerpan]

Is Magnolia the most problematic about skipping Blu-Ray releases? It is certainly aggravating.

[yoloswegmaster]

The new Wang Bing film has leaked with hardcoded English subs. DM if you would like a copy.